Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.271905 3.462347 3.665206 3.898638 4.161460 4.450194 4.794156
2025-08-31 2.987037 3.245758 3.535922 3.889835 4.316193 4.822116 5.482365
2025-09-07 2.738567 3.032707 3.375262 3.812122 4.367923 5.072550 6.073213
2025-09-14 2.535830 2.848846 3.224131 3.720076 4.380403 5.267621 6.632017
2025-09-21 2.367116 2.689096 3.084036 3.621178 4.364076 5.414317 7.154123
2025-09-28 2.271566 2.610268 3.035698 3.632335 4.492878 5.783003 8.126220
2025-10-05 2.256015 2.629182 3.111987 3.816330 4.890906 6.641861 10.314178
2025-10-12 2.192061 2.579350 3.090800 3.858185 5.078712 7.202370 12.257738
2025-10-19 2.131572 2.529212 3.063850 3.886495 5.246382 7.769131 14.661942
2025-10-26 2.100610 2.516043 3.086147 3.989483 5.553869 8.703860 19.242063
2025-11-02 2.042202 2.461239 3.044132 3.986240 5.671629 9.277286 23.645781
2025-11-09 1.951250 2.356669 2.923286 3.845516 5.514682 9.166840 24.806278
2025-11-16 1.869872 2.268036 2.829788 3.757085 5.475909 9.418869 29.373695
2025-11-23 1.811115 2.209142 2.777766 3.734353 5.566512 10.065565 40.524315
2025-11-30 1.742412 2.133050 2.695660 3.653977 5.530272 10.363779 52.743814
2025-12-07 1.676668 2.058474 2.611926 3.564126 5.462263 10.554513 69.350052
2025-12-14 1.614758 1.987001 2.529378 3.470055 5.372870 10.654442 92.588187
2025-12-21 1.581025 1.955053 2.506115 3.478741 5.511163 11.616821 364.290602
2025-12-28 1.584090 1.976932 2.567992 3.647122 6.054246 14.678493 NaN
2026-01-04 1.559457 1.956219 2.560292 3.684920 6.294044 16.830105 NaN
2026-01-11 1.534025 1.933077 2.547073 3.710506 6.510213 19.296678 NaN
2026-01-18 1.522675 1.930692 2.567629 3.804620 6.943253 24.520340 NaN
2026-01-25 1.494727 1.901552 2.541599 3.801507 7.095608 28.167867 NaN